It seems like yesterday that Jon Batiste and Silk Sonic completed their sweep of the ’22 Grammys, but we’re already well into the eligibility period for the 2023 Grammy Awards, so it’s time to make some early predictions!
October 1, 2021 was the beginning of the current Grammy window, which runs through September 30, 2022. Songs and albums released during that window will be eligible for next year’s Grammys.
Who are the leading contenders? Check out our 2023 Grammy predictions below, featuring a lot of familiar names, such as Adele, Harry Styles, the Bruno soundtrack, Silk Sonic (again), and Brandi Carlile, among others.
2023 Grammy Predictions: The Leading Contenders
The vocal diva wasn’t eligible for the 2022 Grammys, because her album 30 and its lead single “Easy on Me” were released after the deadline. The Recording Academy is in love with Adele, as evidenced by her two Album of the Year wins, so she seems like an obvious bet for another nomination in that category.
The only caveat is that her album will be 16 months old by the time the ’23 Grammys roll around. Given that 30 is not producing as many hit singles as Adele’s previous work, it’s entirely possible voters will forget about it, or choose to overlook it. Adele is still a strong contender for Album of the Year, but she’s not a guaranteed winner this time around.
Yes, Bruno Mars and Anderson .Paak just went 4 for 4 at the ’22 Grammys, but all of those awards were for one track, “Leave the Door Open.” The duo’s album An Evening With Silk Sonic didn’t come out until November 2021, making it a leading contender for Album of the Year in ’23.
That’s especially true since the Academy removed the controversial review committees that were previously used to narrow down the nominees. If the committees were still in place, they might decide that Silk Sonic have already won enough and don’t deserve to be nominated again. But with the vote left up to the rank and file Academy members, they’re incredibly likely to earn an Album of the Year nod. This Academy just can’t get enough of Bruno Mars.
Americana rocker Brandi Carlile has rapidly become an Academy favorite, and with good reason. She wowed fans on the ’19 Grammy stage with her performance of “The Joke,” then pulled off a flawless encore this year with “Right on Time.”
In 2023, Carlile’s full album In These Silent Days will be eligible. Grammy voters love artists they perceive to be “real musicians,” and Carlile has the sunning voice and guitar prowess to potentially score an Album of the Year nomination.
Other likely contenders
Taylor Swift could be in the running for the re-recorded version of her Red album. In particular, the 10-minute version of “All Too Well,” plus her collaborations with Phoebe Bridgers and Chris Stapleton, seem like ideal Grammy fodder.
Harry Styles has become a critical and commercial favorite. He won his first Grammy two years ago and should be in line for more nominations if his upcoming record is successful.
Beyonce’s “Be Alive” from the King Richard film will be a favorite in the Visual Media category in 2023.
Other acts who are strong contenders on our list of 2023 Grammy predictions: Rosalia, Robert Plant & Alison Krauss, the Encanto soundtrack, Ed Sheeran, Big Thief, and Maren Morris.
Artists Whose Albums Have Yet to Come Out
There’s a big list of Grammy favorites who are planning to release new albums later in 2022. Post Malone seems guaranteed to earn some Grammy nods when his album drops, no matter what it sounds like. With “Rockstar,” “Sunflower,” and “Circles,” he became just the fourth artist in history to earn Record of the Year nods in three straight years.
Lizzo, Cardi B, Florence + the Machine, and former Album of the Year winners Arcade Fire will also merit strong consideration, assuming their albums come out during the eligibility window.
Artists Who Will be Contenders if They Release New Music
Every year we add this section to cover artists who seem like surefire Grammy nominees, if they ever decide to put out new music. And every year, Rihanna tops the list. The 9-time Grammy winner has been coy for quite a while about whether she plans to release new material. If she does, expect the Academy to reward her.
Kendrick Lamar is another no-brainer in this category. Lamar already has 4 career Album of the Year nominations, and he just won another Grammy for a mere feature on a collab with Baby Keem. If Lamar decides to drop a new record, pencil him in immediately for an Album of the Year nod.
We also can’t count out Jay-Z. While many critics consider the rapper past his prime, he is now the all-time leader in career Grammy nominations, so anything he does will earn consideration.
Who else do you think might get nominated? Leave us a comment with your 2023 Grammy predictions!