It seems like yesterday that Jon Batiste and Silk Sonic completed their sweep of the ’22 Grammys, but we’re already well into the eligibility period for the 2023 Grammy Awards, so it’s time to make some early predictions!
October 1, 2021 was the beginning of the current Grammy window, which runs through September 30, 2022. Songs and albums released during that window will be eligible for next year’s Grammys.
Who are the leading contenders? Check out our 2023 Grammy predictions below, featuring a lot of familiar names, such as Adele, Harry Styles, the Bruno soundtrack, Silk Sonic (again), and Brandi Carlile, among others.
2023 Grammy Predictions: The Leading Contenders
The vocal diva wasn’t eligible for the 2022 Grammys, because her album 30 and its lead single “Easy on Me” were released after the deadline. The Recording Academy is in love with Adele, as evidenced by her two Album of the Year wins, so she seems like an obvious bet for another nomination in that category.
The only caveat is that her album will be 16 months old by the time the ’23 Grammys roll around. Given that 30 is not producing as many hit singles as Adele’s previous work, it’s entirely possible voters will forget about it, or choose to overlook it. Adele is still a strong contender for Album of the Year, but she’s not a guaranteed winner this time around.
Yes, Bruno Mars and Anderson .Paak just went 4 for 4 at the ’22 Grammys, but all of those awards were for one track, “Leave the Door Open.” The duo’s album An Evening With Silk Sonic didn’t come out until November 2021, making it a leading contender for Album of the Year in ’23.
That’s especially true since the Academy removed the controversial review committees that were previously used to narrow down the nominees. If the committees were still in place, they might decide that Silk Sonic have already won enough and don’t deserve to be nominated again. But with the vote left up to the rank and file Academy members, they’re incredibly likely to earn an Album of the Year nod. This Academy just can’t get enough of Bruno Mars.
Americana rocker Brandi Carlile has rapidly become an Academy favorite, and with good reason. She wowed fans on the ’19 Grammy stage with her performance of “The Joke,” then pulled off a flawless encore this year with “Right on Time.”
In 2023, Carlile’s full album In These Silent Days will be eligible. Grammy voters love artists they perceive to be “real musicians,” and Carlile has the stunning voice and guitar prowess to potentially score an Album of the Year nomination. Such a nod would be well-deserved for Carlile.
Other likely contenders
Taylor Swift could be in the running for the re-recorded version of her Red album. In particular, the 10-minute version of “All Too Well,” plus her collaborations with Phoebe Bridgers and Chris Stapleton, seem like ideal Grammy fodder.
Harry Styles has become a critical and commercial favorite. He won his first Grammy two years ago and should be in line for more nominations given the success of Harry’s House and its single “As It Was” and “Late Night Talking.”
Beyonce’s “Be Alive” from the King Richard film will be a favorite in the Visual Media category in 2023, and her summer single “Break My Soul” should be in the running for a pop or R&B vocal performance award.
Post Malone seems guaranteed to earn some Grammy nods now that his album has dropped. With “Rockstar,” “Sunflower,” and “Circles,” he became just the fourth artist in history to earn Record of the Year nods in three straight years. His latest effort hasn’t yet produced a smash hit on that level, but his name recognition should score the album some lover from voters.
Kendrick Lamar is already a three-time Album of the Year nominee, but it will be interesting to see if he earns a fourth with Mr. Morale & the Big Steppers. That album hasn’t had the cultural impact of his previous records, although the critical reviews have been solid.
Former Album of the Year winners Arcade Fire will be in contention in the Alternative field.
Other acts who are strong contenders on our list of 2023 Grammy predictions: Rosalia, Robert Plant & Alison Krauss, the Encanto soundtrack, Ed Sheeran, Big Thief, and Maren Morris. And we’d love to see Conan Gray snag a Best New Artist nomination, since he’s been one of the most impressive young artists in pop music over the past few years.
Artists Whose Albums Have Yet to Come Out
There’s a big list of Grammy favorites who are planning to release new albums later in 2022.
Lizzo, Cardi B, and Florence + the Machine will also merit strong consideration, assuming their albums come out during the eligibility window.
Artists Who Will be Contenders if They Release New Music
Every year we add this section to cover artists who seem like surefire Grammy nominees, if they ever decide to put out new music. And every year, Rihanna tops the list. The 9-time Grammy winner has been coy for quite a while about whether she plans to release new material. If she does, expect the Academy to reward her.
We also can’t count out Jay-Z. While many critics consider the rapper past his prime, he is now the all-time leader in career Grammy nominations, so anything he does will earn consideration.
Who else do you think might get nominated? Leave us a comment with your 2023 Grammy predictions!