Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions: Our Analysis of Artists on the Bubble

rock-and-roll-hall-of-fame
The Rock Hall itself in Cleveland, Ohio.

The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame is fascinating to watch. Sometimes, the Hall’s selections make perfect sense, but at the same time, they often seem to ignore or overlook numerous worthy artists. The Dave Matthews Band, Mariah Carey, Weezer, Outkast, the White Stripes, and the Smiths are among the many acts who deserve serious consideration but haven’t yet been inducted.

Why haven’t your favorite bands been inducted yet into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame? Which bands will be next to earn induction? Let’s make some predictions.

“Will They Get Inducted?” Our Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions

Our “Will They Get Inducted?” column examines some of the acts who are vying for Rock Hall inclusion. One by one, we look at the pros and cons for each artist, and make an informed conclusion about whether the folks who run the Hall of Fame will someday induct them.

We’ve got in-depth analysis on the chances of several different artists earning Rock and Roll Hall of Fame induction. Click each one to read the case for each artist!

Remember as you read these percentages, the key word is eventually. Many of these artists might seem like longshots right now, but over time, we believe their candidacy will be given more serious consideration. If they get inducted 20 years from now, that still counts!

dave matthews band rock roll hall fame
Dave Matthews Band
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 100%
Bottom line: The biggest lock on this list.
Read our complete analysis of DMB’s Rock Hall chances

mariah carey rock roll hall fame
Mariah Carey

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 95%
Bottom line: She has to be the next pop diva in line after Whitney and Janet.
Read our complete analysis of Mariah’s Rock Hall chances

iron maiden hall fame inducted
Iron Maiden

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 90%
Bottom line: After Judas Priest got inducted, Iron Maiden is the next big metal act in line. They should get in.
Read our complete analysis of Iron Maiden’s Rock Hall chances

outkast speakerboxxx
Outkast
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 90%
Bottom line: The influential rap duo managed to score a rare hip-hop win for Album of the Year at the Grammys, but somehow they’re still awaiting Hall induction?

joy division new order hall fame
Joy Division / New Order
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 85%
Bottom line: Every serious Rock Hall watcher believes these two bands will finally take their rightful place in the Hall. The fact that they had similar lineups but very different sounds should work in their favor.

weird al rock roll hall of fame
“Weird Al” Yankovic
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 80%
Bottom line: The most criminally-overlooked Hall candidate, Weird Al is going to earn induction someday, especially after his career-capping #1 album Mandatory Fun. But it won’t happen until the 2030s or 2040s, because right now voters still aren’t taking him seriously.
Read our complete analysis of Weird Al’s Rock Hall chances

snoop dogg get inducted
Snoop Dogg

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 80%
Bottom line: Snoop may have to wait awhile, but he’ll eventually join Dre and Pac in the Hall.

daft punk album
Daft Punk
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 80%
Bottom line: Did you know Daft Punk are already eligible for the Rock Hall? They’ll likely get in someday, given their status as leaders of the electronic music explosion of the late ’90s and 2000s.

b52s rock roll hall fame
The B-52s
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 75%
Bottom line: The B-52s have received little RnR Hall attention so far, but they should be in the conversation for shaping the sound of quirky ’80s pop.
Read our complete analysis of the B-52’s Rock Hall chances

dionne warwick rock hall fame
Dionne Warwick

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 75%
Bottom line: Hopefully the Hall inducts the Queen of Twitter while she’s still with us. She paved the way for Whitney and countless others.
Read our complete analysis of Dionne Warwick’s Rock Hall chances

will beck get inducted
Beck
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 75%
Bottom line: We can’t believe it took so long for Beck to get nominated, given his immense critical success.

weezer rock hall fame
Weezer

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 75%
Bottom line: No rock band has ever pumped out hits as long as Weezer have (30 years!) without earning Hall induction.
Read our complete analysis of Weezer’s Rock Hall chances

mary j blige rock hall

Mary J. Blige
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 75%
Bottom line: She’s now been nominated twice, so it seems the Rock Hall really wants to get Blige in. Few singers had pipes as powerful as her.

the smiths rock hall fame
The Smiths
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: One of the most iconic early ’80s alt-rock acts, the Smiths seem guaranteed to get inducted someday, although Morrissey’s questionable politics these days could delay that honor.

salt pepa inducted
Salt N Pepa
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: The first commercially successful women in hip hop, Salt N Pepa deserve induction for “Push It” alone. As the Hall tries to honor more early rap acts they have overlooked, expect this group to get the call within the next 10 years.

smashing pumpkins rock hall fame
Smashing Pumpkins

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: If the Pumpkins getting Hall induction is what it would take to see the original lineup perform together again, we’re rooting hard for it.

white stripes rock hall
White Stripes

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: Jack and Meg White should earn induction, unless voters are more impressed by Jack’s solo work.

motley crue album
Motley Crue
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: In much the same way that Journey and Rush were successful rock bands without critical acclaim who got inducted after years of being overlooked, Motley Crue could be in the running somewhere down the line.
Read our complete analysis of Motley Crue’s Rock Hall chances

ozzy osbourne rock hall fame

Ozzy Osbourne
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: Ozzy was inducted with Black Sabbath, but his lengthy solo career deserves recognition as well, and he’s well-liked among fans and industry folks.
Read our complete analysis of Ozzy Osbourne’s Rock Hall chances

cher inducted
Cher

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 65%
Bottom line: Cher is yet another female pop-rock act who was overlooked for years, but will hopefully earn induction eventually.
Read our complete analysis of Cher’s Rock Hall chances

kool & the gang
Kool & the Gang
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 65%
Bottom line: When it comes to overlooked soul acts from the ’70s and ’80s, Kool and his gang are near the top of the list.
Read our complete analysis of Kool & the Gang’s Rock Hall chances

oasis rock hall
Oasis

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 60%
Bottom line: British acts who had more success in the UK tend to have a hard time getting inducted into the Rock Hall, but Oasis have a decent chance.

pointer sisters rock hall fame
Pointer Sisters

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 60%
Bottom line: The hitmaking sister trio scored hits in several different genres and have been overlooked by the RRHOF for too long.
Read our complete analysis of the Pointer Sisters’ Rock Hall chances

lenny kravitz album cover

Lenny Kravitz
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 60%
Bottom line: He’s won a million Grammys, he’s beloved by industry insiders. It’s hard to imagine that Kravitz won’t be inducted someday.

tribe called quest
A Tribe Called Quest
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 60%
Bottom line: Influential hip hop group is among the ’90s rap acts still waiting for the Hall call.

alanis morissette rock hall fame
Alanis Morissette
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 55%
Bottom line: Much like Carole King and Carly Simon, Alanis will likely get inducted many years later than she should have been.
Read our complete analysis of Alanis Morissette’s Rock Hall chances

warren zevon rock and roll hall of fame
Warren Zevon
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 55%
Bottom line: The thoughtful and humorous singer-songwriter got his first Hall nomination in 2023, so he’s trending in the right direction.
Read our complete analysis of Warren Zevon’s Rock Hall chances

phil collins rock roll hall fame
Phil Collins

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 55%
Bottom line: Phil was inducted as a member of Genesis, but his massive solo success and the legacy of “In the Air Tonight” should earn him solo consideration.
Read our complete analysis of Phil Collins’ Rock Hall chances

no doubt album
No Doubt
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: Gwen Stefani inducted the Police into the Rock Hall years ago. Maybe Sting can return the favor someday!

pet shop boys rock and roll hall fame
Pet Shop Boys
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: They helped bring electronic dance-pop to the mainstream in the ’80s. Plus the Pet Shop Boys have always had lots of critical acclaim, and the Hall has very few dance acts.

sade album cover

Sade
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: Sade scored a few memorable hits and greatly influenced soulful pop music and many of the singers who came after.

foreigner rock hall fame
Foreigner
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: Shouldn’t 16 Top 40 hits and several Top 10s be enough to get Mick Jones and Lou Gramm’s band into the Hall?
Read our complete analysis of Foreigner’s Rock Hall chances

bjork rock roll fame
Bjork
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: Assuming the Hall finally starts inducting a substantial number of overlooked female artists, Bjork will be high on the list.

sinead o'connor album

Sinead O’Connor
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 45%
Bottom line: After her passing, Sinead received a great deal of love and numerous artists cited her as an influence. Will voters deem her worthy?

styx rock and roll hall of fame
Styx

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 45%
Bottom line: Styx’s music was divisive, but they have more than enough hits to deserve a spot in the Rock Hall.
Read our complete analysis of Styx’s Rock Hall chances

sonny & cher rock and roll hall of fame

Sonny & Cher
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 40%
Bottom line: Sonny & Cher were hippies before hippies became mainstream, and many of their songs remain classics.
Read our complete analysis of Sonny & Cher’s Rock Hall chances

will blink 182 get inducted into the rock and roll hall of fame
Blink-182

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 40%
Bottom line: If this one surprises you, read our analysis. Blink-182 have a better shot than you think, especially given the recent pop-punk revival.
Read our complete analysis of Blink-182’s Rock Hall chances

meat loaf rock and roll hall of fame
Meat Loaf & Jim Steinman

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 35%
Bottom line: Meat Loaf and Jim Steinman absolutely deserve consideration for the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame based on the first two Bat Out of Hell efforts, the original and sequel. We suggest the Hall consider the performer and the songwriter a package duo.
Read our complete analysis of Meat Loaf’s Rock Hall chances

garbage rock roll hall
Garbage

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 35%
Bottom line: Shirley Manson inspired lots of modern singers, and Garbage’s heavy riffs have stood the test of time.
Read our complete analysis of Garbage’s Rock Hall chances

huey lewis sports
Huey Lewis & the News
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 35%
Bottom line: Nobody ever mentions Huey and his band, but they scored such a lengthy string of pop-rock hits that they should be contenders someday.
Read our complete analysis of Huey Lewis & the News’ Rock Hall chances

boyz ii men rock hall
Boyz II Men
Odds of getting inducted: 35%
Bottom line: Boyz II Men are the male equivalents of the pop divas like Whitney and Mariah. Whitney has now been inducted, and after Mariah inevitably gets her honor, the Boyz could receive serious consideration.

jimmy buffett rock roll hall fame
Jimmy Buffett
Odds of getting inducted: 30%
Bottom line: Buffett’s laid-back beach rock style doesn’t fit the normal Rock Hall template, so it’s questionable whether voters will give him a chance.
Read our complete analysis of Jimmy Buffett’s Rock Hall chances

toto rock hall
Toto
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 30%
Bottom line: The Hall has ignored Toto forever, but the same was true of Chicago and Steve Miller. I believe Toto could get in someday.

colour by numbers culture club
Culture Club

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 30%
Bottom line: Now that Duran Duran and the Eurythmics gotten in, it’s possible an act like Culture Club could earn consideration. Their run was short but memorable, and includes the five-star album Colour By Numbers.

inxs rock hall
INXS
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 25%
Bottom line: INXS feel like a band that could be inducted in 30 years when the Hall is trying to dig up worthy ’80s acts who were never considered.

fiona apple
Fiona Apple
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 25%
Bottom line: A few classic singles and albums, a unique style, and a powerful presence make Fiona Apple a dark-horse Rock and Roll Hall of Fame candidate.

phish rock hall predictions
Phish

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 25%
Bottom line: Another band that could be considered way, way in the future, mostly due to their longevity and reputation as a killer live band.
Read our analysis of Phish’s Rock Hall chances

jethro tull rock roll hall fame

Jethro Tull
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 25%
Bottom line: Jethro Tull scored a whopping 16 albums certified Gold or Platinum in the U.S. and created a unique guitar and flute sound. But they’re unlikely to get inducted after all these years.
Read our analysis of Jethro Tull’s Rock Hall chances

bryan adams album
Bryan Adams
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 25%
Bottom line: It’s conceivable the Canadian rocker could be considered for induction many years from now.

boston rock and roll hall of fame

Boston
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 20%
Bottom line: The classic rock band had a short-lived peak, and may not get the necessary support to earn induction.
Read our complete analysis of Boston’s Rock Hall chances

enya rock hall
Enya

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 20%
Bottom line: Enya popularized a niche genre, created her own layered vocal sound, and was sampled by a shockingly large number of hip-hop artists. That will earn her some votes, many years from now.

slipknot rock hall
Slipknot
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 15%
Bottom line: Go ahead and laugh. Obviously, there’s no chance Slipknot gets inducted anytime soon. But in 20 years, when the Hall is looking backward to find more metal bands to consider? It’s not impossible.

sigur ros rock and roll hall of fame

Sigur Ros
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 7%
Bottom line: The quirky Icelandic band essentially created its own genre, which should theoretically earn them consideration. But a lack of hits and name recognition work against them.
Read our complete analysis of Sigur Ros’ Rock Hall chances

We have a large list of artists we’re planning on analyzing next, so stay tuned. Those on our future list include Shania Twain, Barbra Streisand, Kansas, Celine Dion, Sting, Tears for Fears, Diana Ross, and Cyndi Lauper.

Not all of these acts are Hall-worthy, of course. But we’ll examine their credentials objectively and consider whether the Hall might someday consider inducting them.

Recent Nominees for the Rock Hall

Who might get inducted soon? For that answer, it helps to look at who was recently nominated. The 2024 nominees feature a ton of first-time nominees from the ’80s and ’90s who have never been nominated before.

The Hall seems to be making a concerted effort to get more artists into the conversation, which can only be a good thing.

The 2024 Rock Hall Nominees
Mary J. Blige
Mariah Carey
Cher
Eric B. & Rakim
Foreigner
Peter Frampton
Jane’s Addiction
Lenny Kravitz
Dave Matthews Band
Oasis
Sinead O’Connor
Ozzy Osbourne
Sade
A Tribe Called Quest

Who gets in? We predict: Ozzy Osbourne, Mariah Carey, Dave Matthews Band, and Cher are the most likely inductees. Those on the bubble include Peter Frampton, A Tribe Called Quest, Mary J. Blige, and Sade.

The 2023 Rock Hall Nominees
(those in bold were inducted)

Kate Bush
Sheryl Crow
Missy Elliott
Iron Maiden
Joy Division / New Order
Cyndi Lauper
George Michael
Willie Nelson
Rage Against the Machine
Soundgarden
Spinners
A Tribe Called Quest
White Stripes
Warren Zevon

Who gets in? We predict: There are so many worthy nominees that it’s hard to make a call. I think Kate Bush, Soundgarden, Willie Nelson, Missy Elliott, and George Michael get inducted, but it wouldn’t surprise me if Rage Against the Machine, Sheryl Crow, Iron Maiden, the White Stripes, or Joy Division get in.

Update: We were thankfully correct about four of our five picks: Bush, Michael, Elliott, and Nelson all earned induction.

Read our analysis of Sheryl Crow’s Rock Hall chances (published before she was inducted.)

The 2022 Rock Hall Nominees
(those in bold were inducted)

Beck
Pat Benatar
Kate Bush
Devo
Duran Duran
Eminem
Eurythmics
Judas Priest
Fela Kuti
MC5
New York Dolls
Dolly Parton
Rage Against the Machine
Lionel Richie
Carly Simon
A Tribe Called Quest
Dionne Warwick

Who gets in? We predict: Eminem, Dolly Parton, Pat Benatar, New York Dolls, Lionel Richie

Update: Four of our five predictions were correct. Once again the New York Dolls were our only miss.

The 2021 Rock Hall Nominees
(those in bold were inducted)

Mary J. Blige
Kate Bush
Devo
Foo Fighters
The Go-Go’s
Iron Maiden
Jay-Z
Chaka Khan
Carole King
Fela Kuti
LL Cool J
New York Dolls
Rage Against the Machine
Todd Rundgren
Tina Turner
Dionne Warwick

Who gets in? We predict: Jay-Z, Foo Fighters, The Go-Go’s, Tina Turner, New York Dolls

Update: We got 4 of our 5 picks correct. Carole King and Todd Rundgren were surprisingly selected, and the New York Dolls were not. And LL Cool J was selected in the “Musical Excellence” category.

The 2020 Rock Hall Nominees
(those in bold were inducted)

Pat Benatar & Neil Giraldo
Depeche Mode
Doobie Brothers
Whitney Houston

Judas Priest
Kraftwerk
Dave Matthews Band
MC5
Motörhead
Nine Inch Nails
Notorious B.I.G.
Rufus featuring Chaka Khan
Todd Rundgren
Soundgarden
T. Rex
Thin Lizzy

Notable Artists Who’ve Been Rock Hall Finalists, But Haven’t Been Inducted

rage-against-the-machine-tour-van
An early touring van of Rage Against the Machine on display at the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame.

When it comes to making future Rock and Roll Hall of Fame predictions, the best strategy is to look at the acts who have already been nominated in the past. Here are some of the most famous acts who have yet to earn Rock Hall enshrinement despite being nominated at least once before:

A Tribe Called Quest (2022)
Bad Brains (2017)
Beck (2022)
Dave Matthews Band (2020)
Devo (2019, 2021, 2022)
Eric B. & Rakim (2012)
Jane’s Addiction (2017)
New York Dolls (2001, 2021, 2022)
John Prine (2019)
The Smiths (2015, 2016)
Sting (2015)
Soundgarden (2020)
Conway Twitty (2005)

Other Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions and Resources

The official Rock Hall website

-Thinking of visiting the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame yourself? Here’s a list of hotels near the Rock Hall in downtown Cleveland. And here are some great photos of the exhibits inside the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame museum.

The Who Cares About the Rock Hall? podcast – a great resource for discussion and more Rock and Roll Hall of Fame predictions

Complete list of Rock Hall inductees (Wikipedia entry)

Last Updated on February 17, 2024

6 thoughts on “Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions: Our Analysis of Artists on the Bubble”

  1. So many worthy acts continue to get snubbed year after year and there are so many questions as to why certain acts have already been invited to the club. Artists that have made significant differences – be it songwriting, interpretation, musical excellence, genre – does not matter but so many have gone ignored: Let’s change it and get caught up with inductions for Carly Simon, Judas Priest, Bad Company, The Monkee’s, Three Dog Night, Peter Paul & Mary, Iron Maiden, Pat Benetar, Joe Cocker, King Crimson, Kool & the Gang, Foreigner, John Prine, Kate Bush, Duran Duran, Eurythmics, Jethro Tull, Steppenwolf, Grand Funk Railroad, Dave Matthews, Phish and Devo. All worthy, all made a difference in their respective genre’s. Get it right, after all Abba, Darlene Love, Percy Sledge, Public Enemy and Gene Pitney are already in!

    Reply
  2. I believe Jr. Walker and the All Stars, Joe Simon, Johnnie Taylor, KoKo Taylor, Tyrone Davis, Little Milton, Denise LaSalle, Sonny Boy Williamson, Rufus Thomas, Carla Thomas has been overlooked way too long to get into the rock and roll hall of fame.

    Reply
  3. Why bands like Tull,ELP and Kansas aren’t in baffles me, I think Boston and Styx belong too,if Notorious Big is in and the Go Go’s there is something wrong.

    Reply
  4. Phish is a rock and roll enigma. Deserving for a long time. Although no commercial success, their influence is everywhere (go to a festival or ANY live show) and an entire genre of music inspired. Early 80’s start, and carved a path unlike anyone else, even the Dead. Premium musicianship, groundbreaking innovation (show sharing, internet use, livestreams, concert lighting, festival production, etc.). There’s no doubt they’ll get in, but what are we waiting for here?

    Reply
  5. Styx, Boston, Kansas, The Guess Who, and Triumph all deserve to be in the Hall. These bands all had/have outstanding record sales and were/are great live performers. All of these bands are fiercely independant and haven’t taken advice well from the “connected” crowd. Styx and Triumph were not MTV favs and Boston, Kansas, and The Guess Who were not even on their radar. So the same folks that have voted-in flash-in-the-pan acts with “memorable” videos, seem to be unaware that these other bands exist. Additionally, Tom Scholtz from Boston won a lawsuit against Sony. I doubt his band will ever make it in because of that one single fact. Truth be told, no other band has risen to stardom so fast (in a space of a few months). Boston started out playing high school auditoriums and in a few months were selling out massive stadiums. The band’s first two albums have sold more than many inductees entire catalogs. It’s sad when real rock and roll takes a back seat to politics. But, hey, congratulations to our Country inductees.

    Reply

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