Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions: Our Analysis of Artists on the Bubble

rock-and-roll-hall-of-fame
The Rock Hall itself in Cleveland, Ohio.

The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame is fascinating to watch. Sometimes, the Hall’s selections make perfect sense, but at the same time, they often seem to ignore or overlook numerous worthy artists. The Dave Matthews Band, Mariah Carey, Weezer, the Eurythmics, Kate Bush, the Smiths, and Judas Priest are among the many acts who deserve serious consideration but haven’t yet been inducted.

Why haven’t your favorite bands been inducted yet into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame? Which bands will be next to earn induction? Let’s make some predictions.

“Will They Get Inducted?” Our Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions

Our “Will They Get Inducted?” column examines some of the acts who are vying for Rock Hall inclusion. One by one, we look at the pros and cons for each artist, and make an informed conclusion about whether the folks who run the Hall of Fame will someday induct them.

We’ve got in-depth analysis on the chances of several different artists earning Rock and Roll Hall of Fame induction. Click each one to read the case for each artist!

Remember as you read these percentages, the key word is eventually. Many of these artists might seem like longshots right now, but over time, we believe their candidacy will be given more serious consideration. If they get inducted 30 years from now, it still counts!

dave matthews band rock roll hall fame
Dave Matthews Band
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 100%
Bottom line: The biggest lock on this list.
Read our complete analysis of DMB’s Rock Hall chances

pat benatar rock hall
Pat Benatar

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 95%
Bottom line: She’ll be inducted within the next 10 years; the only question is whether it will be solo or with Neil Giraldo.

rage against machine evil empire
Rage Against the Machine
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 95%
Bottom line: Innovative rap-rock band’s induction is just a matter of time.

weird al rock roll hall of fame
“Weird Al” Yankovic
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 90%
Bottom line: After Mandatory Fun, Weird Al is a near-lock. But probably not until the 2030s.
Read our complete analysis of Weird Al’s Rock Hall chances

mariah carey rock roll hall fame
Mariah Carey

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 80%
Bottom line: She has to be the next pop diva in line after Whitney and Janet.
Read our complete analysis of Mariah’s Rock Hall chances

eurythmics rock hall
Eurythmics
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 80%
Bottom line: The Hall is finally coming around to early ’80s new wave and alt-rock, so this duo should earn induction soon.

judas priest will they get inducted
Judas Priest

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 75%
Bottom line: Every band that gets nominated multiple times eventually gets in. This band has had a long wait, but it’s coming.

b52s rock roll hall fame
The B-52s
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: The B-52s have received surprisingly little RnR Hall attention, but they should be in the conversation.

bjork rock roll fame
Bjork
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 70%
Bottom line: Assuming the Hall finally starts inducting a substantial number of overlooked female artists, Bjork will be high on the list.

will beck get inducted
Beck
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 65%
Bottom line: The longtime critical favorite has received surprisingly little RnR Hall fanfare – so far.

weezer rock hall fame
Weezer

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 65%
Bottom line: No rock band has ever pumped out hits as long as Weezer have (25+ years!) without earning Hall induction.
Read our complete analysis of Weezer’s Rock Hall chances

snoop dogg get inducted
Snoop Dogg

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 60%
Bottom line: Snoop may have to wait awhile, but he’ll eventually join Dre and Pac in the Hall.

duran duran rock and roll hall of fame
Duran Duran

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 60%
Bottom line: The inductions of Depeche Mode and the Cure will inevitably lead to honoring more poppy ’80s acts like Duran Duran.

kool & the gang
Kool & the Gang
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 55%
Bottom line: When it comes to overlooked soul acts from the ’70s and ’80s, Kool and his gang are near the top of the list.

pet shop boys rock and roll hall fame
Pet Shop Boys
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: Same logic as Duran Duran. Plus the Pet Shop Boys have always had lots of critical acclaim, and the Hall has few dance acts.

dionne warwick rock hall fame
Dionne Warwick

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 50%
Bottom line: Hopefully the Hall inducts the Queen of Twitter while she’s still with us.

toto rock hall
Toto
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 45%
Bottom line: The Hall has ignored Toto forever, but the same was true of Chicago and Steve Miller. I believe Toto could get in someday.

will blink 182 get inducted into the rock and roll hall of fame
Blink-182

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 40%
Bottom line: If this one surprises you, read our analysis. Blink have a better shot than you think.
Read our complete analysis of Blink-182’s Rock Hall chances

enya rock hall
Enya

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 35%
Bottom line: Enya popularized a niche genre and created her own layered vocal sound. Hopefully that will earn her some votes.

slipknot rock hall
Slipknot
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 20%
Bottom line: Slipknot will not be contenders anytime soon, but maybe in 20 years when the Hall is looking for more metal bands to consider.

phish rock hall predictions
Phish

Odds of getting inducted eventually: 15%
Bottom line: Another band that could be considered way, way in the future, mostly due to their longevity and reputation as a killer live band.

inxs rock hall
INXS
Odds of getting inducted eventually: 15%
Bottom line: INXS feel like a band that could be inducted in 30 years when the Hall is trying to dig up worthy ’80s acts who were never considered.

We have a large list of artists we’re planning on analyzing next, so stay tuned. Those on our future list include Motley Crue, Iron Maiden, Styx, Barbra Streisand, No Doubt, Willie Nelson, Cher, Celine Dion, Sigur Ros, Sting, Oasis, Kate Bush, the Smiths, Tears for Fears, and Maroon 5.

Not all of these acts are Hall-worthy, of course. But we’ll examine their credentials objectively and consider whether the Hall might someday consider inducting them.

Recent Nominees for the Rock Hall

Who might get inducted soon? For that answer, it helps to look at who was recently nominated. The 2021 nominees were very different from the 2020 nominees. The Hall seems to be making a concerted effort to get more artists into the conversation, which can only be a good thing.

The 2021 Rock Hall Nominees
(selections in bold)

Mary J. Blige
Kate Bush
Devo
Foo Fighters
The Go-Go’s
Iron Maiden
Jay-Z
Chaka Khan
Carole King
Fela Kuti
LL Cool J
New York Dolls
Rage Against the Machine
Todd Rundgren
Tina Turner
Dionne Warwick

Who gets in? We predict: Jay-Z, Foo Fighters, The Go-Go’s, Tina Turner, New York Dolls

Update: We got 4 of our 5 picks correct. Carole King and Todd Rundgren were surprisingly selected, and the New York Dolls were not. And LL Cool J was selected in the “Musical Excellence” category.

The 2020 Rock Hall Nominees
(those in bold were inducted)

Pat Benatar & Neil Giraldo
Depeche Mode
Doobie Brothers
Whitney Houston

Judas Priest
Kraftwerk
Dave Matthews Band
MC5
Motörhead
Nine Inch Nails
Notorious B.I.G.
Rufus featuring Chaka Khan
Todd Rundgren
Soundgarden
T. Rex
Thin Lizzy

Notable Artists Who’ve Been Rock Hall Finalists, But Haven’t Been Inducted

rage-against-the-machine-tour-van
An early touring van of Rage Against the Machine on display at the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame.

Here are some of the most famous acts who have yet to earn Rock Hall enshrinement despite being nominated at least once before:

Bad Brains (2017)
Pat Benatar (2020)
Kate Bush (2018, 2021)
Dave Matthews Band (2020)
Devo (2019, 2021)
Eric B. & Rakim (2012)
Eurythmics (2018)
Jane’s Addiction (2017)
Judas Priest (2018, 2020)
Chaka Khan (2016, 2017, 2021)
New York Dolls (2001, 2021)
John Prine (2019)
Rage Against the Machine (2018, 2019, 2021)
The Smiths (2015, 2016)
Sting (2015)
Soundgarden (2020)
Conway Twitty (2005)

Other Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Resources

The official Rock Hall website

The Who Cares About the Rock Hall? podcast – a great resource for discussion and more Rock and Roll Hall of Fame predictions

Photos of the exhibits inside the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame museum

Complete list of Rock Hall inductees (Wikipedia entry)

2 thoughts on “Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Predictions: Our Analysis of Artists on the Bubble”

  1. So many worthy acts continue to get snubbed year after year and there are so many questions as to why certain acts have already been invited to the club. Artists that have made significant differences – be it songwriting, interpretation, musical excellence, genre – does not matter but so many have gone ignored: Let’s change it and get caught up with inductions for Carly Simon, Judas Priest, Bad Company, The Monkee’s, Three Dog Night, Peter Paul & Mary, Iron Maiden, Pat Benetar, Joe Cocker, King Crimson, Kool & the Gang, Foreigner, John Prine, Kate Bush, Duran Duran, Eurythmics, Jethro Tull, Steppenwolf, Grand Funk Railroad, Dave Matthews, Phish and Devo. All worthy, all made a difference in their respective genre’s. Get it right, after all Abba, Darlene Love, Percy Sledge, Public Enemy and Gene Pitney are already in!

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